weekly update #9
10 March 2008
3 Mar - 9 Mar:
3,991 hands (100nl)
$659.23
8.26 ptbb/100
Crushed the tables hard this week and ran pretty hot to boot. Really felt like I played pretty well, and deciding to 6-table really helped increase my volume of hands. I do feel like I am playing too tight at the moment, and after a discussion with Brian have since decided that I really need to look for optimal spots to loosen my game. I still stand by the fact that you shouldn't be targeting specific stats (ie: "I want to play an x/x/x game"), but agree that changing up your game to be looser in certain situations will certainly benefit you as you move up stakes. Hopefully as I migrate towards playing some PokerStars in the next few weeks I'll be able to target some villains with more standard stats and get into different situations (on AP it seems like whenever I try to isolate limpers in position all that happens is I get 3 calls and end up having a 4way $20 pot on the flop... fun times).
The Bad:
Hand 1
I'm getting frustrated with overpairs in multiway pots and am starting to feel like I shouldn't be felting this. However, I don't want to be too results oriented. There are a ton of draws out there and I think I just need to go with this hand. Whatever, keep playing 37s you retard.
Hand 2
Button is playing 24/7/0.8 (30% WTSD). I typically don't cbet into two villains with air but figured this was a dry enough flop that it didn't figure to hit anyone too hard. If called I'd simply reevaluate the turn and likely give up. Of course, the turn brings me a combo flush + gutshot and I chk/raise all in expecting to get a fold from weak Q's enough of the time for this move to be profitable. I didn't decide to get it all in until after checking the turn though, so this clearly wasn't good in terms of "planning out your hand." I don't hate getting it all in here, but what are your thoughts? Do I have enough fold equity for this to be profitable?
Hand 3
Not so sure I like how I played this hand. Should I even be calling this turn shove by the SB? SB caps the raising, but UTG+1 surely has a big hand if he's raising into 2 players here. Does that mean big flush draw, 2 pair, set? Or can I conclude that it's 89 enough of the time to fold. Thoughts... I just really do not like this situation?
The Good:
Hand 4, Hand 5, Hand 6
Nothing really to note here other than "flop big hands, get paid." Hand 6 is interesting because the villain and I were 130BB effective and he's a regular playing 18/15/2.5. If I flop a big hand here he is handing me his entire stack 90% of the time. By the way, he was none to pleased with the "ty sir" that he got after stacking off with AA.
Hand 7
Pretty straightforward hand... didn't really feel the need to push off our UTG friend off a hand so I just called UTG+1's 50BB shove. I guess he would have tagged along with QQ had I shoved, but what's the point?
Hand 8
Flop cbet was incorrectly sized by me (not intentional) but it worked out well. No reason to bet/3bet him off of a hand with no draws out there, so I decided to let him stack off with his Ax. K on the turn scared me in the sense that it might prevent him from calling another barrel, but I figured that if he wanted to chk/minraise the flop he's gotta like his hand. A chk/minraise on the turn as well must mean he really likes his hand now, and basically telegraphed that he either had AK, A2, A8, or 22. Good game son, let me relieve you of your chips.
Hand 9
Unknown villain here but min3bet PF typically means his holding is super strong; at the time I'm thinking TT+, AQ+, and maybe some random garbage because players are just so bad. Flop doesn't hit me so I'm just folding if he bets. Thanks for the free card, pal... 2 pair is good enough to continue for $5. Rivered my boat and obviously AK still has me beat (only 3 combinations), but I think a value shove here is correct hoping he was a moron with his JJ or KK. Thoughts?
Posted byM0NIKER at 11:51 AM
Hand 1: I don't think it is right to fold this hand long term. However, it might be worthwhile to start saving these types of hands as a group and see what type of EV they do produce in say, 6 months.
Hand 2: He is getting roughly 100:40 if my math is right, so he has to win this hand 28% of the time to justify a call. I don't think you have enough fold equity against most players. You do have 14 outs here. I don't see a player bet/folding here unless he has air, because I doubt he bets with queens not strong enough to call a raise or other pairs. If you were to double barrel here with your 14 outs, you have to call a shove obviously. It is an interesting spot and I would like to know what other people think as well. Against a passive opponent, I like a check, because we might se a free card. Against an aggressive opponent, I like a checkraise, as you have outs and he might bet with air and it is the only way to maximize value if he does have air.
Hand 3: You already aren't happy with your hand and how many cards come on the river that are not good? Any club, any 8, any 9, any card pairing the board. However, you can be confident that no hand that you beat is betting the river, so I think a call is fine here and a fold to a river bet.
Hand 4: Well played.
Hand 5: This hand kinda reminds me of the hand where I had AK last night and bet $10 on the river. I think it is better to either check or shove this river. Why bet $20? Was there a read you had or something?
Hand 6: I am not sure I really like calling a 3-bet OOP with a suited one gapper. As played, I like how you played it fast on such a drawy heavy board. While not in your play, I think it is worth noting that his 3-bet sizing, since you guys are deeper, is horrible, it should be more like $16 imo.
Hand 7: I like the way you played the hand by flatting that bet and getting it in on the flop. However, I think your raise should be a litle biger preflop. Were you trying to get one of the villains to come over the top? If you had a read that open of them would do that, then I like your play. Without a read though, I make it bigger.
Hand 8: Well played and good observation of the super dry flop. No reason to raise that turn, given stack and pot sizes at that point.
Hand 9: We discussed this hand before, and I really like your line. Don't forget - though rare - pretty much any A is gonna pay you off as well, since your raise looks bluffy.
Hand 1: We need villain's stats. Is he the type to squeeze on the flop here? This board is bushleague multi way. It might suck to give a free card against everyone and their mother, but it kills off so much of their equity if you're protecting against draws and also limits potential losses against a set. So did you want to induce guys to come over the top with a smaller bet? Multiway on a board like that I'd bet harder if you're bet/folding. You're obviously repping strength as you're c-betting into 4 villains, and the CO is behind another guy that's cold calling. I'd be really scared here.
Hand 2: I like the check-raise here if he has like $20 more (I'd love it more if the board was like J high). If this were the case, I think double barreling could be bad as you'd have awkward stack sizes. If he calls c-bets habitually, this is obviously a better situation.
Hand 3: This is a tough spot, but I think you need to think of the future streets and your position in terms of value extraction. Meaning, if you were in position against the live guy here calling the turn would be better as he'd likely check worse behind for you to potentially bet on. Being out of position here means that you're in a rough spot. If the flush didn't come in, this situation would have been really rough.
Oh yeah, FWIW I likely make the same mistake on Hand 1.
Hand 1. I would bet flop bigger at around $15-17 to try to get this hu because I would hate to see more than one villain call down with their draws.
Hand 2. I don't think you ever get a queen to fold here when the 5of spades hits the turn. Your UTG and he probably doesn't put you on low cards. When he bets the Q on the turn, he's calling your raise all in unless he's tricky aggro and betting with air.
Hand 3.
I like how you played it, u lost the min. There's no way u can fold the turn unless UTG+1 raised it up huge.
I like the check on the river with the intention to fold to a big bet since the flush hit and SB is all in.
Hand 5. I would be interested to hear your thought process on this hand. It looked like you expertly played it, wow.
You guys must of had history or something.
Hand 6.
Were you calling his 3 bet to make a play on a low dry flop? Alot of times, you'll miss the flop and will have to c/f or c/r as a bluff.
I def like how u played it fast when u flopped two pair on such a draw heavy flop.
Hand 9.
well played, he's never folding a flush or trip Aces on the river and may even call you weaker thinking you are bluffing.