time for a change?

Got a bit bored today so decided to dig through my 2008 stats at 100nl (I've decided not to even look at 2007 because the poker player from that year can't even be compared to the one I have been since I decided to take things seriously in January). The chart below shows my monthly progression, and the graph looks pretty snazzy too.

I really wanted to get in 50k hands at the level before deciding whether or not to move up stakes (regardless of what my bankroll was). I thought that this would give me a pretty good perspective of how well I was doing at the level and provide the confidence necessary to tell myself that "no matter how horribly your start off at 200nl, you'll always know that you can rebuild at 100nl to the tune of X ptbb/100." Well, as it turns out, X has ended up being above 5 ptbb/100. Personally I think this could be higher, but hey, stats don't lie. And it's not like I'm exactly upset at this number.

That being said, I've played around at 200nl for a little bit on AP, and even though there are more regulars there I don't see a huge change in play from 100nl -- maybe a little more 3betting, but hey, it's not like that's the worst thing in the world. Bigger pots mean bigger mistakes from opponents post-flop! I'm also pretty confident that I'll be able to run at 2 ptbb/100 or greater from the start (I didn't run at lower than 2.7 for any month at 100nl), which should mean that my bankroll will continue to grow at the same rate.

Enough with the talk... time to take the plunge. Good luck me (200nl @ AP / 100nl @ PS ftw!)


Posted byM0NIKER at 10:44 AM  

6 comments:

Unknown said... August 5, 2008 at 2:11 PM  

From the sample I have, which is probably pretty close to 10k hands, 200nl on AP is not difficult to beat. They still make a lot of mistakes and there are still a large amount of fish. You will do well there imo. Just keep focusing on improving and learning and the rest will follow.

Malfaire said... August 5, 2008 at 2:15 PM  

definitely do 200nl up imo

LuckySOB said... August 5, 2008 at 9:43 PM  

Congrats Monk, some donkey from Detroit just came in to flood the 200nl w/dead monty............go get it.

M0NIKER said... August 5, 2008 at 9:52 PM  

I heard he lost it all and needed to move back to 25nl. Maybe my sources are lying though.

Unknown said... August 6, 2008 at 7:31 AM  

Yeah, that dude must clearly be terrible if he is from Detroit. I'd be licking my chops for when he returns if I were you, easy money!

AppleSeed2082 said... August 7, 2008 at 12:34 AM  

moniker,

Great results. You should def play more with a win rate like that. Good luck at $200 nlhe sh

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